National Energy Policy – Where’s the Honest broker?

Tankers carrying foreign crude off Saint John

Tankers carrying foreign crude off Saint John –

Media coverage of the Keystone and Northern Gateway Pipeline projects demonstrate just how polarized the Canadian energy debate has become. Unless we can achieve a national consensus on Canada’s energy future, the current environment of confrontation will intensify and we’ll never find common ground on individual energy projects. A comprehensive national energy policy is needed to provide context to answer the many legitimate questions Canadians have about energy.

Should Canada sign another global emissions agreement? Should we price carbon? Is the Gateway pipeline, a critical piece of national energy infrastructure or a threat to the environment? Should the federal government assist the lower Churchill hydro project? Is an energy corridor from coast to coast in the national interest? Does it make sense to build a pipeline to ship bitumen to Canada’s largest refinery in Saint John? Should Ontario expect Alberta to manage the pace of its development so impacts are kept within its provincial boundaries? Should taxpayers or consumers pay for new renewable energy.

Energy policy is clearly about more than the facilitation of individual projects. It is about placing those projects within the wider context of what we want to achieve for our country and as a society. It is also about managing the entire energy cycle and the wider economic, social and environmental interrelationships. Our personal well-being, our quality of life and the competitive position of our country, hinge on the wise use of a stable supply of affordable and sustainable energy. Canada’s international reputation is affected by our record of environmental performance in the production and consumption of that energy.

Has New Brunswick learned from the Energy Hub?

Our experience in New Brunswick with the Energy Hub is that an ad hoc approach to projects without reference to a supporting energy policy is a short route to nowhere. However, mention the words “energy policy” to most people and their eyes glaze over. Energy policy has not been on the public radar for a very long time. The issues are too complex for 140 character conversations on twitter or 10 second television soundbites. It hasn’t helped that for several decades economists have pushed politicians toward a stance of non-intervention in the free market.

In fairness, the real reason there has been little public discussion of Canadian energy policy is the fear of another political bloodbath like the one that surrounded the scrapping of the National Energy Program (NEP). Only those over 45 will remember the coup, led by Alberta, that brought an end to energy policy making on a national scale. Albertans were furious over a two price system that was to have their oil exports taxed to provide relief for imported oil in the east. The politics of energy were at the root of western alienation, the rise of Reform  and the virtual death of Liberals west of Ontario.

Canada still has a virtual two price system

Ironically, Canada did get a two price system. Most of Alberta’s oil is sent south at a discounted US price, while eastern Canada buys about the same amount on the world market at a higher international price. Under the NEP the east were seen as being subsidized by the west. Under the current free market, unregulated system, no Canadians are subsidized and it is difficult to see how Alberta’s interests are being served. What is clear, is that  Alberta needs to move its oil to markets that will return the best value and from a national accounts perspective, it seems logical that we avoid exporting oil from one region at a price lower than that paid by another region for replacement imported oil. That this situation exists today, is a strong reminder of the lack of any thought given to national interest.

Alberta leading a new parade

With the encouragement of other Provinces and industry, Alberta’s Premier Redford is building support for a new National Energy Plan. Quebec Premier Jean Charest, Nova Scotia Premier Dexter, and Premier Selinger of Manitoba have joined the discussion. While Redford and Charest want to engage their provincial counterparts, neither see a leadership role for the federal government. Provincial antipathy toward federal involvement on energy policy is not a surprise, neither is the fact that there has been no push back from Ottawa.

With the death of the NEP in 1986, a shell shocked federal government vacated its responsibilities in energy and allowed its policy capacity to atrophy. Public servants with career aspirations have avoided the subject for most of the last twenty-five years. Canada, they have said, should rely on free market forces to provide solutions and in any event, energy is the responsibility of the provinces. Unfortunately, this abandonment of national leadership has proven to be a completely inadequate response and the reason Canadians are still looking for answers to their energy questions.

Energy a provincial responsibility with national implications

Intra-provincial energy issues fall within the jurisdiction of the provinces. However, the impacts of today’s large export driven energy projects are trans-boundary in scope and require the intervention of national governments as we’ve seen with the Keystone XL project. In getting its increased bitumen production to market, Alberta’s challenge is pipeline access across neighboring territories.  It is not surprising, then, to see Redford’s renewed interest in obtaining national policies that will assist Alberta.

Quebec’s return to the national policy stage is also not surprising. Charest will argue forcefully for policies that maintain Quebec’s dominant position in electricity development and distribution. Premier Charest will likely push for Ottawa’s withdrawal of support for competing developments like Newfoundland and Labrador’s Lower Churchill project. Given this motivation, a determination not to have federal involvement in the process of developing a national energy plan is beginning to look more like a palace putsch than an attempt at national consensus building. This is unfortunate, given that Canada’s diverse provincial interests represent a significant challenge to nation-building.

British Columbia has environmental and land use concerns related to the gateway pipeline. Ontario worries about paying trade penalties for Canada’s errant greenhouse gas emissions and loosing jobs to our petro-currency. Alberta will likely want relief from further restrictions on greenhouse gas emissions, especially if Canada signs any new global treaties. In Atlantic Canada, Newfoundland and Labrador and the Maritimes find themselves competing with Quebec over electricity exports. Power issues clearly resonate with Atlantic voters who want to see their Provinces working together to strengthen the Atlantic grid and the region’s export corridor. They also recognize that risk sharing with the federal government can overcome the region’s issues of economic scale.

Where’s the Honest Broker

In light of the developing interest in national policy, it is time to ask who will play the role of Canada’s honest broker? Who should balance the interests of energy producing provinces with energy consuming ones and who should ensure the interests of weaker provinces aren’t over run by the more powerful.

Premier Redford’s efforts demonstrate, perhaps unintentionally, that Canada really does need a national policy for energy. However, the process for arriving at that consensus should be brokered by the National Government, albeit with the provinces as equal parties at the table. A process led by Ottawa should insure the input of all those with an interest in our energy future and the fair balancing of our diverse provincial and regional interests.

The next Energy Minister’s meeting scheduled for September in Prince Edwards Island gives Canadian Energy ministers a great opportunity to shape Canada’s national agenda. Let’s hope they are ready in time.

This article appeared in the Saint John Telegraph Journal on Saturday April 21st, 2012.

Resolve the Robocall accusations – Don’t deflect them

Misleading calls led to voter anger or worse

Misleading calls led to voter anger or worse

Elections Canada confirmed Friday it had received 31,000 “contacts” in respect of the May 2011 federal election. Increasing numbers of Canadians watched with disbelief as an unprecedented scandal unfolded through the week. Opposition parties have brought forward allegations of voter suppression and fraud. Media outlets are reporting details of incidents in more than fifty ridings across the country. We are hearing daily about phone callers who claimed to be from Elections Canada and who sent voters to the wrong or non-existent polling stations and other calls that were meant to harass voters into staying home or changing their vote. Then there was the Pythonesque “Poutine” burner phone used to contact a Robo call centre that had provided services for the Conservatives.

While all this makes great news, we should not expect the Government to fall tomorrow or see those responsible for any election rigging in court or going to jail anytime soon. It has taken Elections Canada almost ten months to sort through complaints received immediately after polls closed last May. Additional time will now be required to sort through the avalanche of new complaints. A great deal more work will have to be done before a decision is made to proceed with charges. If charges are laid, there will be trials with plenty of procedural detail and an appeal process sure to be pursued by the losers. All this will take time and the opposition can be expected to raise the volume on calls for blood if due process is seen to be impeded. All fair-minded Canadians want to get to the truth of what happened last May and will have little patience for anything that looks like a coverup.

The Harper Government tactic of deflection is understandable as is their counting on a lengthy process away from the media glare to dampen the furor. It was clear from the Prime Minister’s dismissive reaction last week that he plans to brave the storm and continue with business as usual. This strategy worked for him in diffusing the “in and out” election financing scheme, Minister Kenny’s fundraising on Government letter head, Minister Bernier’s briefing book lapse, and the allegations of doctored documents in the Bev Oda affair. Polls show that his core supporters haven’t abandoned him or his party yet. But that may not last if the party is linked to any wrong doing.

With the exception of the Afghan detainee torture issue the current election fraud allegations are an order of magnitude more serious than any faced by the Conservatives since they came to power in 2006. The Prime Minister’s tactics will postpone, but not solve, these latest problems. Outraged voters are unlikely to let that happen.

These tactics may give the Prime Minister and his government a short term deferral. However the trade off is that the Robo call controversy could see the spectacle of court action happening inconveniently close to the next election, which is scheduled for the spring of 2015. Procrastination is never a good response if there is something to be done that has no likelihood of resolving itself.

Going into that election in the midst of a major scandal will demoralize the conservative base just as the opposition is energized. Swing voters can’t be counted on to support a government in trouble and Stephen Harper may reach his “heartbreak hill” just as the opposition parties are readying themselves for a sprint to the finish. If the Government does nothing to accelerate the investigation and resolution of complaints, a steady stream of allegations that they interfered with Canadians’ right to vote will give the Opposition parties the high ground in their battle for the hearts and minds of those voters most offended.

The Conservatives say they have nothing to hide. In that case a judicial enquiry with a mandate to report quickly would allow the complaints to be properly heard and still leave time to implement appropriate remedies before the next election. Nothing less than this will dull the uproar generated by 31,000 election “contacts” or return any semblance of legitimacy to Prime Minister Harper’s Government.

This is my Personal blog: where I offer some context to illuminate the shadows cast by public debate